UCF
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 69.9947Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 H Jacksonv. St CUSA (10- 5, 72.7) 17-10 906 H No Car AT 68- 7 920 H UNC ACC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 9-34 927 A Kansas St B12 ( 6- 5, 82.6) 20-34 1004 H Kansas B12 ( 5- 7, 77.3) 20-27 1011 A Cincinnati B12 ( 7- 5, 77.6) 11-20 1018 H We Virginia B12 ( 4- 8, 77.4) 45-13 1101 A Baylor B12 ( 4- 8, 73.4) 3-30 1107 H Houston B12 (10- 3, 80.5) 27-30 1115 A Texas Tech B12 (12- 2, 96.3) 9-48 1122 H Oklahoma St B12 ( 2-10, 66.8) 17-14 1129 A BYU B12 (12- 2, 91.0) 21-41
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 H Jacksonv. St 17-10 7 3 ++ 4.48
920 H UNC 9-34 -25 1 --- -14.79
927 A Kansas St 20-34 -14 -18 0.00
1004 H Kansas 20-27 -7 -2 -- -4.98
1011 A Cincinnati 11-20 -9 -13 + 3.88
1018 H We Virginia 45-13 32 -2 +++ 16.18
1101 A Baylor 3-30 -27 -9 -- -5.38
1107 H Houston 27-30 -3 -5 + 2.20
1115 A Texas Tech 9-48 -39 -32 0.00
1122 H Oklahoma St 17-14 3 8 -- -5.49
1129 A BYU 21-41 -20 -26 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 920 H UNC 9-34 -25 1 --- -14.79 1004 H Kansas 20-27 -7 -2 -- -4.98 1101 A Baylor 3-30 -27 -9 -- -5.38 1122 H Oklahoma St 17-14 3 8 -- -5.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H We Virginia 45-13 32 -2 +++ 16.18 828 H Jacksonv. St 17-10 7 3 ++ 4.48 1011 A Cincinnati 11-20 -9 -13 + 3.88 1107 H Houston 27-30 -3 -5 + 2.20 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Jacksonv. St (10- 5, 72.7) 17-10 -27.17 24.05 -5.26 1.16 43.56
3 H UNC ( 5- 7, 74.5) 9-34 -25.43 25.78 -5.26 1.16 -17.79
3 A Kansas St ( 6- 5, 82.6) 20-34 -17.27 33.95 5.26 1.16 -6.96
3 H Kansas ( 5- 7, 77.3) 20-27 -22.62 28.60 -5.26 1.16 -16.16
3 A Cincinnati ( 7- 5, 77.6) 11-20 -22.28 28.94 5.26 1.16 -9.86
3 H We Virginia ( 4- 8, 77.4) 45-13 -22.47 28.75 -5.26 1.16 54.46
3 A Baylor ( 4- 8, 73.4) 3-30 -26.55 24.67 5.26 1.16 -12.34
3 H Houston (10- 3, 80.5) 27-30 -19.45 31.77 -5.26 1.16 -14.32
3 A Texas Tech (12- 2, 96.3) 9-48 -3.57 47.65 5.26 1.16 -0.98
3 H Oklahoma St ( 2-10, 66.8) 17-14 -33.14 18.08 -5.26 1.16 29.73
3 A BYU (12- 2, 91.0) 21-41 -8.89 42.33 5.26 1.16 -2.10
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47.24
|
winning pts = 127.7510 losing points = -80.5084
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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